Hybrids are too often thought of simply in terms of personal vehicles.
They are also penetrating the big vehicle market space. Consider the average delivery truck and all its starts/stops. There is a lot of energy to capture there, which is why UPS is pursuing hybrids. And, as per Walmart and its hybrid trucks, they are hitting the semi-trailer world. There are also efforts to apply hybrids to trash trucks and offer the opportunity to silence those squealing brakes at 5:45 am. Ann Arbor, Michigan, has started to get hybrid buses as is London. And, well, now they’re coming to a school system (maybe) near you.
This PHEB project was started in 2002 with a group of school transportation directors around the United States. The goal with the first phase was to develop and test the technology, produce a competitive bid, and put 20 Hybrid buses in service in school districts.
As per AutoBlogGreen, Mantee County, Florida, is also part of this “as part of the Plug-In Hybrid Electric School Bus Project. Designed to test the viability of the new buses, a hybrid and a control bus will travel the same route, alternating every two weeks, for a period of two years which should equate to more than a million miles of service each.”
This is a serious test plan that should provide inputs to decision making for school systems around the country. There will be serious measurement investments:
An array of different measures will be tracked via a GPS system including acceleration, deceleration, braking, fuel economy and more.
This sort of research and data collection, with open publication of the data and research analysis, is required to help make “hyped concepts” into real options for local government administrators around the country.
Take a look at the objective: “fuel economy improvements of 70 to 100 percent will be realized on the plug-in hybrid vehicles plus a reduction in emissions of up to 90 percent.”
A doubling of fuel economy? Think it of this way, there are in NY state alone 46,000 school buses … Rising fuel costs have hammered these school systems in recent years, leading to reductions in services.
Now, these buses are not cheap … showing up at $225,000 each as opposed to a ‘typical’ school bus of $75,000. But, these plug-ins are far from the mass-produced, assembly line stage, but the test and evaluation versions. For the future, the question that requires answering: For a doubling of fuel efficiency (and 90% reduction in pollution), what is the price differential that is worth paying? According to Badger’s discussion:
A 100 bus order will drop the price per bus to about $140,000, which, according to our Transportation Director, will make the 15 year life-cycle cost comparable to a traditional school bus costing around $78,000.
Now, some don’t look at this so optimistically. The Christian Science Monitor had an article on plug-in hybrid school buses earlier this year. This is how they write on this:
Each of the first 19 buses costs over $200,000 – more than double the cost of a regular model. At that price, they won’t pay for themselves over their lives, even with superior fuel savings. It’s a chicken-and-egg problem because until about 1,000 buses roll off assembly lines, the cost of production will keep prices high.
“Won’t pay for themselves …”
Okay, but what happens past those 1000 buses.
Note the level of mass production that is required to make these cost effective … 1000 vehicles in some form of sustained production process.
Even after manufacturing efficiencies and competition bring the price down, plug-in hybrid school buses may still cost $40,000 more than a regular bus. But at that point, they will pay for themselves in just a few years with lower maintenance and fuel costs, analysts say.
Okay, the will cost more to “buy” but … note the payback period, a few years. They will cost far (FAR) less to own as decade-old busses are the norm, not the exception, for most school systems.
And, while these busses will use less fuel (see below), fuel savings are only part of the path toward reduced costs.
Ordinary yellow “type C” school buses get about 6 to 8 miles to the gallon. But the new plug-in hybrid models, rated at more than 12 m.p.g., could cut fuel consumption about in half in many districts. That could mean a big fuel savings for tight budgets.
If the nation could double its fleet miles, school savings could be significant. About 475,000 buses transport 25 million kids each day. Traveling more than 4 billion miles a year, those buses burn about 550 million gallons of fuel annually,
Nation-wide, this means that school buses burn a little more than 1/2 of a day’s oil use. The plug-in hybrids offer an opportunity to cut that in half. A path toward the equivalent of 5+ million barrels of oil production per year. Sounds like a great investment stream for me. Far from a silver bullet solution to the nation’s problems, but an interesting Silver BB?
But, let’s go back to an item.
“Won’t pay for themselves …“
Okay, time to ask the question: is it only fuel costs that should be on the table?
Thinking past stove-piped accounting
We already see that this step can help deal with our oil demand and, therefore, help with Peak Oil and security/financial implications of lowering oil use. That is good and we can monetize this value. But, it is not a value that the school system directly sees and not a value part of school board accounting.
Well, there is that minor thing called Global Warming. Cutting 5 million barrels of oil, roughly 200 million+ gallons, which translates quite roughly into 4 billion pounds or 2 million tons of CO2. With a CO2 fee of, let us say, $25 per ton, that is $50 million of value. At $50 ton, $100 million that would help pay that purchase differential for many PHEBs. But, that sort of fee is not part of any school system’s decision-making, it seems.
But, let us start to think further, to consider costs, very serious costs related to diesel buses, and figure out how they might (should) fit into decision-making for PHEBs — for school districts and public transit systems. While the exact degree of total impact is unclear, consider what happens with these buses each day. Consider the school buses.
In the United States more than 23 million schoolchildren board school buses each day. Of the country’s half million or so school buses, most are aging diesel-powered vehicles. We are all familiar with the black plumes of smoke billowing from the tailpipes of diesel trucks and buses, and just as we would not hand our child a cigarette, we would hardly allow our children to stand behind a smoke-belching school bus.
Yet … yet … yet …
The truth is that tailpipe exhaust often seeps inside the bus, sometimes in concentrations far higher than the amount outside the bus, and diesel exhaust is linked to a host of public health hazards.
- Diesel fumes are known to cause cancer, especially lung cancer.
- Particulates/other elements in diesel exhaust cause respiratory illnesses and contribute to premature deaths
According to a study carried out in the Los Angeles area, the levels of diesel exhaust on a bus can be four times as high as those found in passenger cars driving just ahead of the bus. And the concentration of diesel fumes found inside the buses were more than eight times that of the average amount found in California’s outdoor air.
Let’s put this into even stronger context, what about the idling, that burning of diesel that basically is eliminated with PHEBs.
idling buses often spew out higher concentrations of particles and carbon than moving buses, although buses may emit more when climbing hills or moving in heavy traffic.
Children are spending hour after hour exposed to diesel fumes, waiting for their school bus next to other idling school buses at the end of a long day at school. To give a feel for that impact,
children on diesel buses breathe in more soot than everyone else in the surrounding metropolitan area combined, and up to 70 percent more soot than the average commuter. … Kids not only face this increased risk from exposure; they are also more vulnerable to the impacts of air pollution. Research from the Harvard School of Public Health showed that young children’s lungs will get two and half times the dose of soot particles as an adult’s lungs.
Who is counting the health impacts on the children and others in the community? How are an asthma sufferer’s more frequent crises accounting in school transportation decisions as to whether to buy PHEBs? How do we account for the lung cancers that could be avoided?
If … if … if we could move beyond stove-piped calculations of cost-benefit relationships, the decision to buy PHEBs would become a no-brainer.
Even if just considering the impacts on the school community (teachers, drivers, students), the payoff is so clear.
The payoff is clear.
The Energy Smart option is the Financially Smart, Health Smart, Socially Smart, Ethically/Morally Smart, and, well, simply Societally Smart choice.